OTTF
0x2ece9aea1e1522edf10a58af0254408a098eacf2
- Realised P&L
- $4.8k
- Volume
- $614.0k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $4.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.455 | 0.525 | $4.8k | +$638.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.9kat 0.455Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
- +$2.6kat 0.880US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$2.5kat 0.189US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.416US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$1.3kat 0.466US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-15 09:42 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.4547788616 | $4.1k |
| 08-01 16:16 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.65 | $4.1k |
| 07-13 18:16 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.6479557099 | $4.1k |
| 06-17 21:43 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.841849696 | $3.5k |
| 06-16 20:35 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.994 | $3.5k |
| 06-15 01:52 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8189227184 | $2.9k |
| 06-15 01:51 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7833147973 | $2.3k |
| 06-15 01:33 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8194509682 | $2.4k |
| 06-15 01:30 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.1702311789 | $3.0k |
| 06-13 12:28 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7788714928 | $10.6k |
| 06-13 12:27 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.428698256 | $10.6k |
| 06-06 09:28 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999999 | $1.2k |
| 06-06 09:26 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $126.00 |
| 06-06 09:25 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.930768702 | $1.1k |
| 06-03 01:44 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7622391747 | $17.7k |