PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

theinvoice

0x2ece6ee4eaa86368a58835021c536616739035e8

Realised P&L
$1.5k
Volume
$201.8k
Markets traded
202
Open portfolio
$692.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded202
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka · Afghanistan0.2100.510$273.36+$160.80
Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers · Southern Miss Golden Eagles0.2200.500$249.50+$139.72
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.5520.302$168.49$138.97
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? · No0.7301.000$1.00+$0.27
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguars · Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils0.2300.000$0.00$68.31
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 28 be between 2,000,000 and 2,100,000? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$1.43
Up Only podcast released by February 28, 2026? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$0.01
Will "Gachiakuta" win Best Animation at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$75.84
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-02-25? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$1.02
Will Andrew Tate post 490-519 posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$0.02
XRP Up or Down - February 14, 1PM ET · Down0.5100.000$0.00$184.11
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00$0.11
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win 30-34 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$6.60
XRP Up or Down - February 10, 4AM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00$81.83
Will Keir Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00$248.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-16 05:34New pandemic in 2026?SELL0.1$2.20
04-27 08:41Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?SELL0.08$42.80
04-27 08:20Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?SELL0.11$4.40
04-23 12:31Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?BUY0.09$48.15
04-21 10:29Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreSELL0.22$9.02
04-21 08:19Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.78$307.32
04-21 02:49Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreSELL0.22$275.22
04-12 15:37Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?SELL0.32$285.76
04-12 14:51Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.63$683.55
04-12 14:49Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.63$5.04
04-12 14:48Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.62$4.96
04-12 14:47Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.63$75.60
04-12 08:13Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.63$86.31
04-12 06:22Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?BUY0.64$571.52
04-12 06:05Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.84$1.1k