0x2ecaeb6925a22361a4b3df3fc64ec23169dd7b89
0x2ecaeb6925a22361a4b3df3fc64ec23169dd7b89
- Realised P&L
- $-0.95
- Volume
- $492.54
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $55.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.745 | $11.46 | +$0.38 |
| Will Finland win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.605 | $11.36 | +$0.28 |
| Will Slovakia win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.765 | $11.01 | −$0.07 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.515 | $10.97 | −$0.11 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.805 | $10.88 | −$0.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.44at 0.767Will Poland win on 2026-09-28?
- +$-4.40at 0.995Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 15:48 | Will Slovakia win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.7699999889 | $11.08 |
| 09-28 15:48 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.5199999831 | $11.08 |
| 09-28 15:47 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.8199999941 | $11.08 |
| 09-28 15:47 | Will England win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.7199999948 | $11.08 |
| 09-28 15:47 | Will Finland win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.5899999787 | $11.08 |
| 09-28 15:46 | Will Poland win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.75 | $11.08 |
| 09-28 15:40 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.983 | $95.93 |
| 09-28 15:40 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9839999941 | $96.03 |
| 09-28 15:29 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.983 | $97.91 |
| 09-28 06:33 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9839999954 | $98.01 |