PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fdrgtt4e3

0x2ec86cf57def3d0ca841bf41a1c3152d6617f111

Realised P&L
$329.82
Volume
$16.4k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$0.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C or below on October 10? · Yes0.5000.009$0.24−$12.96
Spread: Haiti (-2.5) · Haiti0.5000.000$0.00−$25.00
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 1? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$12.51
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on April 22? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$24.00
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 73°F or below on September 1? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$25.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 13:56Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 5?BUY0.998$5.10
09-28 16:19Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on September 29?BUY0.998$6.54
09-24 00:55Texas vs. Tennessee: O/U 39.5BUY0.89$2.6k
07-06 08:58Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 7?BUY0.97$7.08
07-03 02:50Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C or below on July 4?BUY0.99$13.39
06-22 01:05Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on June 23?BUY0.987$6.91
06-20 02:19Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 21?BUY0.988$8.82
06-03 01:12Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 4?BUY0.9870320856$18.46
05-26 12:47Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 27?BUY0.95$19.75
05-18 13:07Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 18 above $265?BUY0.95$5.69
05-14 00:35WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 14?BUY0.87$13.57
05-06 04:51Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 7?BUY0.993$28.70
04-15 01:18Spread: 76ers (-1.5)BUY0.51$6.93
02-19 15:31Will Trump's remarks in Rome, GA not air?BUY0.962$1.2k
02-09 12:49Will "Flushed out" or "Flush out" be said at the Super Bowl?BUY0.966$1.7k