fdrgtt4e3
0x2ec86cf57def3d0ca841bf41a1c3152d6617f111
- Realised P&L
- $329.82
- Volume
- $16.4k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $0.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C or below on October 10? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.009 | $0.24 | −$12.96 |
| Spread: Haiti (-2.5) · Haiti | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.51 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on April 22? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be 73°F or below on September 1? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$260.00at 0.500Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5
- +$161.20at 0.500Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5
- +$25.40at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Denver be 73°F or below on September 1?
- +$24.35at 0.500Spread: Haiti (-2.5)
- +$23.57at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on April 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 13:56 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.10 |
| 09-28 16:19 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on September 29? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.54 |
| 09-24 00:55 | Texas vs. Tennessee: O/U 39.5 | BUY | 0.89 | $2.6k |
| 07-06 08:58 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 7? | BUY | 0.97 | $7.08 |
| 07-03 02:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C or below on July 4? | BUY | 0.99 | $13.39 |
| 06-22 01:05 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on June 23? | BUY | 0.987 | $6.91 |
| 06-20 02:19 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 21? | BUY | 0.988 | $8.82 |
| 06-03 01:12 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 4? | BUY | 0.9870320856 | $18.46 |
| 05-26 12:47 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 27? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.75 |
| 05-18 13:07 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 18 above $265? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.69 |
| 05-14 00:35 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 14? | BUY | 0.87 | $13.57 |
| 05-06 04:51 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 7? | BUY | 0.993 | $28.70 |
| 04-15 01:18 | Spread: 76ers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $6.93 |
| 02-19 15:31 | Will Trump's remarks in Rome, GA not air? | BUY | 0.962 | $1.2k |
| 02-09 12:49 | Will "Flushed out" or "Flush out" be said at the Super Bowl? | BUY | 0.966 | $1.7k |