BiBi-.-
0x2ec68ae5663064b2b3fef1177e0e1a213faadce8
- Realised P&L
- $-21.2k
- Volume
- $157.4k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · Yes | 0.165 | 0.034 | $2.8k | −$11.0k |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.021 | $2.15 | −$14.85 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.8k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Yes | 0.124 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$220.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.85at 0.972Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?
- +$-14.97at 0.523Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$-59.18at 0.195US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
- +$-100.00at 0.330Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-25 11:43 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.1299999996 | $253.28 |
| 03-25 11:42 | US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $220.88 |
| 03-24 08:46 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.1299999988 | $89.84 |
| 03-19 21:01 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.1699999998 | $600.00 |
| 03-17 14:13 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.5k |
| 03-15 15:21 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.61 |
| 03-14 07:04 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.1638855015 | $1.5k |
| 03-13 21:05 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.154483745 | $1.5k |
| 03-13 10:00 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.151246139 | $1.7k |
| 03-12 13:46 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.1560000002 | $100.00 |
| 03-12 13:45 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.1560000001 | $200.00 |
| 03-12 13:45 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.1560000001 | $200.00 |
| 03-12 13:45 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.1560000001 | $200.00 |
| 03-12 13:45 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.1560000002 | $100.00 |
| 03-11 09:15 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY | 0.1297382935 | $99.00 |