optuna
0x2eb87f756fbe627474a29228a8514b03afdbcf99
- Realised P&L
- $-940.53
- Volume
- $58.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,482
- Open portfolio
- $4.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,482
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi end in a draw? · No | 0.900 | 0.705 | $1.56 | −$0.43 |
| Will FK Livyi Bereh win on 2026-10-31? · No | 0.980 | 0.760 | $1.54 | −$0.45 |
| Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-10-31? · No | 0.940 | 0.525 | $1.11 | −$0.88 |
| Will Sporting FC vs. CS Herediano end in a draw? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.99 |
| Will Sporting FC win on 2026-10-31? · No | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.43at 0.468Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
- +$47.39at 0.043Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
- +$45.28at 0.315Dogecoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
- +$44.40at 0.495Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
- +$41.52at 0.211Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 04:33 | Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.9099999954 | $1.99 |
| 11-01 03:51 | Will Sporting FC vs. CS Herediano end in a draw? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.99 |
| 11-01 03:44 | Will CS Herediano win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.9099999954 | $1.99 |
| 11-01 03:15 | Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.99 |
| 11-01 03:13 | Will Sporting FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.99 |
| 11-01 02:53 | Will Piratas Veracruz vs. CD Tapatio end in a draw? | BUY | 0.9099999954 | $1.99 |
| 11-01 02:44 | Will Cancun FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.9099999954 | $1.99 |
| 11-01 02:37 | Will Alacranes de Durango vs. Atletico Morelia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.99 |
| 11-01 02:37 | Will Alacranes de Durango win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.9199999815 | $1.99 |
| 11-01 02:34 | Will Cancun FC vs. Jaiba Brava end in a draw? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.99 |
| 11-01 02:31 | Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.9699999951 | $1.99 |
| 11-01 02:27 | Will Jaiba Brava win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.9699999951 | $1.99 |
| 11-01 02:25 | Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Instituto AC Córdoba end in a draw? | BUY | 0.9289999832 | $1.99 |
| 11-01 02:23 | Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.9199999815 | $1.99 |
| 11-01 02:20 | Will Atletico Morelia win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.9359999849 | $1.99 |