MarkRubio
0x2eb308cde820adfd1426da934176212564e916e7
- Realised P&L
- $368.52
- Volume
- $265.0k
- Markets traded
- 372
- Open portfolio
- $31.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded372
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$157.34at 0.496Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?
- +$130.19at 0.277Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?
- +$122.04at 0.250Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?
- +$118.87at 0.926Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?
- +$102.65at 0.466Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 13:58 | Istanbul 2: Ilia Simakin vs Gabi Boitan | SELL | 0.7 | $7.00 |
| 08-03 13:57 | Istanbul 2: Ilia Simakin vs Gabi Boitan | BUY | 0.605 | $6.05 |
| 08-02 20:31 | National Bank Open: Michael Zheng vs Miomir Kecmanovic | SELL | 0.56 | $2.81 |
| 08-02 20:15 | National Bank Open: Michael Zheng vs Miomir Kecmanovic | SELL | 0.51 | $6.94 |
| 06-16 18:30 | Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? | BUY | 0.1137037037 | $1.53 |
| 06-13 08:42 | Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro | BUY | 0.49 | $34.30 |
| 06-12 21:41 | United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.55 | $39.88 |
| 06-12 20:57 | Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.999 | $76.92 |
| 06-12 20:26 | Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.58 | $44.66 |
| 06-04 18:50 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $26.62 |
| 06-04 18:34 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.0693306318 | $4.19 |
| 06-04 18:14 | Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0069928977 | $0.10 |
| 06-04 18:14 | Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.04 |
| 06-04 18:14 | Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.04 |
| 06-04 18:14 | Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.13 |