OneskiffOneMan
0x2ead7d13d0f92b08ed77d569f1076fc9359e8046
- Realised P&L
- $-211.08
- Volume
- $28.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,091
- Open portfolio
- $37.28
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,091
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 19? · No | 0.800 | 0.865 | $27.03 | +$2.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be 84°F or higher on September 17? · No | 0.862 | 1.000 | $5.80 | +$0.80 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on September 18? · No | 0.820 | 0.730 | $4.45 | −$0.55 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 17? · No | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.03at 0.780Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on June 6?
- +$28.04at 0.838Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 11?
- +$27.16at 0.854Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 11?
- +$24.72at 0.908Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 23?
- +$23.50at 0.530Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C or higher on May 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 14:21 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.89 | $25.00 |
| 09-16 10:35 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.87 | $11.31 |
| 09-14 08:28 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.82 | $24.12 |
| 09-10 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 12? | BUY | 0.81 | $25.00 |
| 09-09 02:17 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on September 10? | BUY | 0.83 | $25.00 |
| 07-25 15:59 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on July 26? | BUY | 0.93 | $50.00 |
| 07-25 10:15 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C or higher on July 26? | BUY | 0.84 | $50.00 |
| 07-24 05:11 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on July 25? | BUY | 0.89 | $50.00 |
| 07-13 04:54 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on July 15? | BUY | 0.799 | $40.11 |
| 07-12 20:30 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 14? | BUY | 0.82 | $18.93 |
| 07-12 19:21 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 14? | BUY | 0.83 | $104.30 |
| 07-11 02:20 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 11? | BUY | 0.949 | $93.03 |
| 07-10 22:03 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 11? | BUY | 0.86 | $81.58 |
| 07-10 19:46 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 11? | BUY | 0.81 | $22.17 |
| 07-10 19:28 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 11? | BUY | 0.79 | $32.27 |