zeno.chen
0x2ea96f35446ae68b78d587cf16755d3eabcc09a8
- Realised P&L
- $-59.60
- Volume
- $40.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,404
- Open portfolio
- $2.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,404
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18? · Up | 0.607 | 0.545 | $1.80 | −$0.21 |
| Ren Zhengfei public appearance by December 31? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.815 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.81at 0.722Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
- +$79.58at 0.705Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 25?
- +$77.24at 0.718Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
- +$69.25at 0.668Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
- +$68.77at 0.727Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 12:06 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 11:13 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 11:13 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18? | SELL | 0.35 | $0.97 |
| 09-18 11:11 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 11:11 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18? | SELL | 0.64 | $0.98 |
| 09-18 11:09 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 10:05 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 18? | SELL | 0.79 | $0.90 |
| 09-18 09:08 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.8699994606 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 11:47 | Ren Zhengfei public appearance by December 31? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 10:50 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.988 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 07:28 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 04:00 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.94999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 16:49 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 12:50 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 10:53 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |