uRzSKAWitzWidrzliX7G
0x2e9b7b845d039357428e245b0ad9a8d5c1597c8f
- Realised P&L
- $-82.61
- Volume
- $6.2k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $221.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 2? · No | 0.950 | 0.977 | $221.64 | +$6.01 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026? · No | 0.964 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.64 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15? · No | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.78 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.40 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026? · No | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.57 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026? · Yes | 0.982 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.62 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2? · No | 0.813 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.02at 0.645Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 29?
- +$41.90at 0.808Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 30?
- +$25.62at 0.743Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 1?
- +$14.55at 0.687Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 23?
- +$13.06at 0.884Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 04:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.95 | $215.62 |
| 10-01 04:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $220.94 |
| 09-30 05:52 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.997 | $220.50 |
| 09-30 05:50 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $220.20 |
| 09-29 07:52 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.8 | $175.51 |
| 09-29 07:20 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 07:03 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.998 | $178.31 |
| 09-28 05:08 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.6335636205 | $113.20 |
| 09-28 05:06 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.998 | $115.59 |
| 09-27 05:46 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.8895510363 | $103.03 |
| 09-27 05:45 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.999 | $103.65 |
| 09-26 09:44 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.9299999995 | $96.49 |
| 09-26 09:42 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.998 | $96.85 |
| 09-25 17:23 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.99 | $96.07 |
| 08-01 05:13 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.86 | $43.67 |