Lilakanthi
0x2e93a1a8125696b019c3559b81801483193732b5
- Realised P&L
- $-103.94
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $5.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko win the Falealili 1 by-election? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.225 | $5.33 | −$1.78 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.00 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.5% in August? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET · Up | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.87 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.63at 0.219Will Monique Taylor win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?
- +$15.69at 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
- +$6.26at 0.174Will Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale win the Falealili 1 by-election?
- +$4.76at 0.631Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?
- +$1.22at 0.515Will Onyeka Oshionwu win the next Göttingen mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 10:04 | Will Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko win the Falealili 1 by-election? | BUY | 0.3 | $7.11 |
| 09-15 08:24 | Will Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu win the Falealili 1 by-election? | SELL | 0.14 | $7.57 |
| 09-15 07:51 | Will Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu win the Falealili 1 by-election? | BUY | 0.1699999887 | $1.20 |
| 09-15 07:50 | Will Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu win the Falealili 1 by-election? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.45 |
| 09-15 04:51 | Will Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu win the Falealili 1 by-election? | BUY | 0.16 | $8.00 |
| 09-15 04:49 | Will Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale win the Falealili 1 by-election? | SELL | 0.33 | $4.75 |
| 09-15 04:28 | Will Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale win the Falealili 1 by-election? | SELL | 0.26 | $3.12 |
| 09-15 04:07 | Will Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia win the Vaimauga 3 by-election? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.04 |
| 09-15 00:36 | Will Jascha Rohr win the next Oldenburg mayoral election? | SELL | 0.14 | $4.16 |
| 09-14 15:25 | Will Jascha Rohr win the next Oldenburg mayoral election? | BUY | 0.2299999956 | $6.84 |
| 09-14 14:19 | Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? | SELL | 0.18 | $7.32 |
| 09-14 04:13 | Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.62 |
| 09-14 04:11 | Will Jascha Rohr win the next Oldenburg mayoral election? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.62 |
| 09-14 03:08 | Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $12.00 |
| 09-14 03:07 | Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | SELL | 0.611 | $0.81 |