s4Tk
0x2e918bc15a3f7b7abc33074c6b111bcdc72c047f
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $426.2k
- Markets traded
- 93
- Open portfolio
- $530.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded93
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Solana be less than $70 on October 7? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $354.40 | −$1.25 |
| Will the price of Solana be less than $70 on October 8? · No | 0.999 | 0.995 | $166.12 | −$0.75 |
| Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on October 5? · No | 0.999 | 0.995 | $9.95 | −$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.977Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)
- +$1.1kat 0.980Spread: Morocco (-2.5)
- +$101.65at 0.720Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)
- +$34.28at 0.940Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?
- +$23.97at 0.985US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 09:21 | Will the price of Solana be less than $70 on October 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $166.87 |
| 10-03 09:20 | Will the price of Solana be less than $70 on October 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $355.64 |
| 10-03 09:18 | Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on October 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 08-17 04:04 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,400 on August 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $130.92 |
| 08-17 04:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on August 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $271.39 |
| 08-17 03:58 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on August 22? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-17 03:57 | Will the price of Solana be less than $30 on August 22? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-17 03:57 | Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on August 21? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-17 03:56 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on August 21? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-17 03:56 | Will the price of Solana be less than $30 on August 21? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-17 03:54 | Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on August 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.84 |
| 08-17 03:54 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on August 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 07-25 14:45 | Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on July 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $279.72 |
| 07-15 14:05 | Spread: Argentina (-3.5) | BUY | 0.993 | $527.83 |
| 07-10 14:42 | Spread: Belgium (-2.5) | BUY | 0.987 | $521.12 |