gggb-426
0x2e7fae3b97c031340ac3a9ac723fc3f26f6d66c7
- Realised P&L
- $-680.74
- Volume
- $20.9k
- Markets traded
- 177
- Open portfolio
- $42.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded177
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.50at 0.574Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
- +$11.25at 0.775Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
- +$8.06at 0.946Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$0.96at 0.985Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
- +$0.14at 0.999Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,800 and $4,900 on September 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 03:03 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $21.50 |
| 08-05 21:00 | Will Rob Reiner – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series? | SELL | 0.77 | $38.50 |
| 08-05 17:31 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $13.40 |
| 08-04 15:32 | Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.455685 | $9.11 |
| 08-04 15:29 | Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? | SELL | 0.35 | $17.50 |
| 08-04 15:29 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.859 | $42.95 |
| 08-04 15:29 | Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? | SELL | 0.38 | $19.00 |
| 08-03 15:25 | Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.326 | $16.30 |
| 08-03 15:22 | Will “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? | SELL | 0.462 | $23.10 |
| 08-03 15:22 | Will Trump say "Smithsonian" in August? | SELL | 0.71 | $14.20 |
| 08-03 15:22 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | SELL | 0.61 | $30.50 |
| 08-03 03:18 | Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.29 | $14.50 |
| 08-03 03:18 | Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.58 | $29.00 |
| 08-03 00:48 | Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026? | SELL | 0.947 | $47.35 |
| 08-02 03:06 | Will Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series? | SELL | 0.34 | $17.00 |