artemka2006
0x2e7b639552deed58f8cf0b1e978cc79118d55b48
- Realised P&L
- $-4.98
- Volume
- $156.13
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $5.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026? · No | 0.700 | 0.925 | $2.72 | +$0.66 |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $397,000 on December 31? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.445 | $1.27 | +$0.27 |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,104,000 and $1,125,000 on December 31? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.186 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will the median home value in Miami be between $809,000 and $830,000 on December 31? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.245 | $0.72 | −$0.28 |
| Will Tim Walz drop out by January 6? · No | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.15 |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage · Legacy | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.41 |
| Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs · Team Liquid | 0.775 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.58at 0.736Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs
- +$0.91at 0.730Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
- +$0.79at 0.770Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?
- +$0.76at 0.770Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?
- +$0.64at 0.850Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 17, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 18:37 | Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.5199998967 | $1.41 |
| 10-06 18:35 | Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $397,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 18:34 | Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,104,000 and $1,125,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 18:33 | Will the median home value in Miami be between $809,000 and $830,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 11:19 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $4.56 |
| 10-01 11:27 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.699999932 | $2.06 |
| 10-01 11:24 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $4.00 |
| 04-10 09:45 | Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs | BUY | 0.7699999871 | $5.90 |
| 04-09 17:40 | Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $5.98 |
| 04-09 13:37 | Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs | BUY | 0.7299999735 | $4.34 |
| 04-09 13:30 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | SELL | 0.92 | $4.41 |
| 03-31 13:38 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | BUY | 0.7299999708 | $3.50 |
| 03-22 18:36 | Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31? | SELL | 0.987 | $3.43 |
| 02-26 14:14 | Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.07 |
| 02-22 13:02 | Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31? | BUY | 0.7699999741 | $2.68 |