C.L.I.T.
0x2e765a4ac7567104eb9296e5747fd8d3a048527e
- Realised P&L
- $229.42
- Volume
- $161.4k
- Markets traded
- 522
- Open portfolio
- $31.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded522
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Nordic" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? · Yes | 0.989 | 0.400 | $13.76 | −$20.24 |
| Will "Green" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? · No | 0.989 | 0.425 | $10.05 | −$13.34 |
| Will "Car" or "Vehicle" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? · Yes | 0.989 | 0.410 | $7.26 | −$10.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$153.43at 0.570Will Trump post "Bitcoin," "Crypto," or "Cryptocurrency" on Truth Social this week?
- +$73.23at 0.539Will Trump post "Pope" on Truth Social this week?
- +$56.24at 0.793Will Trump post "World Cup" on Truth Social this week?
- +$37.93at 0.727Will Micron say "PC" during earnings call?
- +$37.03at 0.865Will Trump post "Gianni" or "Infantino" on Truth Social this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 17:04 | Will "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" be said 10+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 12? | BUY | 0.98 | $29.89 |
| 10-13 17:02 | Will "Shit" be said 5+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 12? | BUY | 0.98 | $29.89 |
| 10-13 17:02 | Will "Fuck" or "Fucking" be said 10+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 12? | BUY | 0.98 | $29.89 |
| 10-13 13:11 | Will JPMorgan say "Money" 5+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.8089531908 | $29.89 |
| 10-13 13:11 | Will JPMorgan say "Credit Card" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.98 | $13.44 |
| 10-13 13:09 | Will JPMorgan say "Leverage" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 10-13 13:07 | Will Domino's say "Fantastic" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.98 | $13.44 |
| 10-13 12:47 | Will Domino's say "Delivery" 5+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 10-13 12:47 | Will Domino's say "Delivery" 5+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.98 | $20.55 |
| 10-13 12:43 | Will JPMorgan say "Wholesale" 3+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.9775843762 | $25.78 |
| 10-13 12:40 | Will Domino's say "Productivity" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.98 | $13.44 |
| 10-10 18:35 | Will Trump post "Deranged" or "Derangement" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.9620738222 | $39.62 |
| 10-10 02:30 | Will "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | BUY | 0.98 | $29.89 |
| 10-09 14:35 | Will Delta Air Lines say "Headwind" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.6959949413 | $29.89 |
| 10-09 14:16 | Will Delta Air Lines say "Fuel" 15+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.9713330582 | $29.89 |