0x2e7197ce74df28b33b2e8cfdc40246a23a053b76
- Realised P&L
- $-813.87
- Volume
- $195.7k
- Markets traded
- 643
- Open portfolio
- $255.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded643
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$171.89at 0.287Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 14?
- +$160.51at 0.298Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
- +$80.63at 0.371Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
- +$72.94at 0.720Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
- +$61.96at 0.703Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 05:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 30? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.61 |
| 07-29 05:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 30? | BUY | 0.89 | $7.46 |
| 07-28 16:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.917 | $9.89 |
| 07-27 14:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 28? | BUY | 0.73 | $5.99 |
| 07-27 03:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July? | BUY | 0.93 | $98.93 |
| 07-27 02:57 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July? | BUY | 0.83 | $40.00 |
| 07-27 02:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 27? | BUY | 0.92 | $9.81 |
| 06-12 22:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? | BUY | 0.97 | $16.78 |
| 05-15 13:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15? | SELL | 0.8354834705 | $255.76 |
| 05-15 05:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15? | BUY | 0.93 | $148.40 |
| 05-15 05:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15? | BUY | 0.979 | $149.85 |
| 05-15 05:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15? | BUY | 0.9281199474 | $148.10 |
| 05-15 05:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15? | BUY | 0.978 | $149.69 |
| 05-15 05:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15? | BUY | 0.92 | $18.88 |
| 05-13 19:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14? | BUY | 0.66 | $29.55 |