0x2e61679fcacfc90213aa1a6ca4827bf027d03827
0x2e61679fcacfc90213aa1a6ca4827bf027d03827
- Realised P&L
- $-8.45
- Volume
- $176.88
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $2.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.470 | $1.88 | +$0.88 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.505 | $0.72 | −$0.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.05at 0.227Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$4.65at 0.330US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$3.24at 0.420S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?
- +$2.86at 0.450SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 10?
- +$2.34at 0.500Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 05:35 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 10:54 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 01:40 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:40 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:39 | Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 10:52 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999659 | $2.29 |
| 09-23 02:48 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999358 | $2.29 |
| 09-22 18:45 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.229999994 | $2.29 |
| 09-20 21:39 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999515 | $2.29 |
| 09-19 08:00 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.6699999912 | $2.29 |
| 09-19 00:00 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.5599999609 | $2.29 |
| 09-18 13:56 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.4099999893 | $2.29 |
| 09-11 09:08 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.2399999916 | $2.29 |
| 09-11 00:37 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.3699999515 | $2.29 |
| 09-08 14:09 | Will Macy's say "Automation" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.7899999759 | $2.29 |