0x2e5d0d5ef294c6ad4e8f9cb6ab9e50c1890802dc
- Realised P&L
- $-6.70
- Volume
- $61.71
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $12.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.795 | $3.20 | +$1.11 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $160 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.660 | 0.915 | $2.90 | +$0.81 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · Yes | 0.750 | 1.000 | $2.79 | +$0.70 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No | 0.250 | 0.115 | $0.96 | −$1.13 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No | 0.320 | 0.145 | $0.95 | −$1.14 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.095 | $0.86 | −$1.23 |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.25 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.070 | $0.40 | −$1.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.500Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
- +$-0.01at 0.502Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
- +$-1.98at 0.590Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?
- +$-2.09at 0.330Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 10:27 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $160 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999242 | $2.09 |
| 08-04 02:26 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.09 |
| 08-03 18:19 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.09 |
| 08-03 10:06 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.25 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.369999931 | $2.09 |
| 08-02 21:02 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.2299999285 | $2.09 |
| 08-02 11:45 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.5199999801 | $2.09 |
| 08-02 00:17 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.09 |
| 08-01 16:16 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.3299999116 | $2.09 |
| 08-01 02:26 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.04 |
| 07-31 18:25 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5019999544 | $2.09 |
| 07-31 10:24 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.09 |
| 07-30 19:33 | Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.5899999136 | $1.98 |