PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2E5a2FDbFda425CAa408F8F225B13Bf3bcA30122-1768234166698

0x2e5a2fdbfda425caa408f8f225b13bf3bca30122

Realised P&L
$-26.5k
Volume
$4.45M
Markets traded
599
Open portfolio
$5.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded599
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2900.295$2.4k+$41.19
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-09-28? · Yes0.3400.875$1.4k+$865.44
Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.305$626.94+$71.95
Will Northern Ireland vs. Hungary end in a draw? · Yes0.3300.390$590.91+$90.91
Will Sweden vs. Poland end in a draw? · Yes0.2600.335$95.58+$21.40
Trump renames AI by September 30? · Yes0.3000.250$8.34−$1.67
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees · Tampa Bay Rays0.4200.000$0.00−$363.85
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET · Down0.1600.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET · Down0.5480.000$0.00−$2.19
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET · Up0.4470.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET · Up0.3200.000$0.00−$4.73
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET · Down0.5240.000$0.00−$18.56
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1870.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET · Down0.3490.000$0.00−$435.08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET · Down0.1600.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 18:07Will Northern Ireland vs. Hungary end in a draw?BUY0.3299999998$500.00
09-28 18:06Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw?BUY0.2699999999$555.00
09-28 18:03Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.34$550.00
09-28 17:56Will Sweden vs. Poland end in a draw?BUY0.26$74.18
09-28 17:50Will Latvia vs. Cyprus end in a draw?SELL0.999$1.6k
09-28 17:36Will Georgia vs. Ukraine end in a draw?SELL0.6203168826$1.0k
09-28 14:49Will Latvia vs. Cyprus end in a draw?BUY0.3299999999$533.50
09-28 14:48Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.29$236.21
09-28 14:47Will Georgia vs. Ukraine end in a draw?BUY0.31$500.00
09-28 14:42Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETBUY0.01$25.00
09-28 14:36Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETBUY0.16$25.00
09-28 14:35Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETBUY0.2899999993$100.00
09-28 14:30Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETBUY0.2485422043$100.00
09-28 14:30Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.299999994$10.00
09-28 14:29Trump renames AI by September 30?SELL0.3079871757$1.1k