0x2E5a2FDbFda425CAa408F8F225B13Bf3bcA30122-1768234166698
0x2e5a2fdbfda425caa408f8f225b13bf3bca30122
- Realised P&L
- $-26.5k
- Volume
- $4.45M
- Markets traded
- 599
- Open portfolio
- $5.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded599
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.3kat 0.268Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?
- +$7.9kat 0.204Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?
- +$5.5kat 0.126Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-05-10?
- +$4.7kat 0.051Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
- +$3.8kat 0.377Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 18:07 | Will Northern Ireland vs. Hungary end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3299999998 | $500.00 |
| 09-28 18:06 | Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999999 | $555.00 |
| 09-28 18:03 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.34 | $550.00 |
| 09-28 17:56 | Will Sweden vs. Poland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.26 | $74.18 |
| 09-28 17:50 | Will Latvia vs. Cyprus end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.6k |
| 09-28 17:36 | Will Georgia vs. Ukraine end in a draw? | SELL | 0.6203168826 | $1.0k |
| 09-28 14:49 | Will Latvia vs. Cyprus end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3299999999 | $533.50 |
| 09-28 14:48 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.29 | $236.21 |
| 09-28 14:47 | Will Georgia vs. Ukraine end in a draw? | BUY | 0.31 | $500.00 |
| 09-28 14:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $25.00 |
| 09-28 14:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $25.00 |
| 09-28 14:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.2899999993 | $100.00 |
| 09-28 14:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.2485422043 | $100.00 |
| 09-28 14:30 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.299999994 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 14:29 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | SELL | 0.3079871757 | $1.1k |