K0lka1
0x2e5a09b033bcb4e7751a052c9599671d6b000528
- Realised P&L
- $-224.76
- Volume
- $41.9k
- Markets traded
- 148
- Open portfolio
- $23.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded148
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USD/JPY hit 140 (Low) in 2026? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.115 | $19.38 | +$4.29 |
| Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.190 | $3.80 | −$4.40 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4AM ET · Up | 0.043 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.85 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.50 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7AM ET · Down | 0.152 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9AM ET · Up | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$209.19at 0.008Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
- +$62.99at 0.370Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12PM ET
- +$59.80at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
- +$57.60at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7AM ET
- +$55.68at 0.418Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-03 13:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9AM ET | BUY | 0.0232964473 | $2.00 |
| 04-26 11:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7AM ET | BUY | 0.13 | $11.37 |
| 04-26 11:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7AM ET | BUY | 0.26 | $23.23 |
| 04-26 08:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $3.45 |
| 04-05 20:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.46 | $42.91 |
| 04-05 17:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $0.30 |
| 04-05 17:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $3.93 |
| 04-05 16:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12PM ET | SELL | 0.4335292546 | $16.23 |
| 04-04 20:27 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.0398409043 | $9.39 |
| 04-04 10:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.56 | $52.45 |
| 04-01 18:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET | SELL | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 04-01 17:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.41 | $18.76 |
| 04-01 01:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $50.42 |
| 04-01 00:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | BUY | 0.33 | $14.91 |
| 04-01 00:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $13.54 |