prizeDrama
0x2e58a55949290f6861a572ce1c9c71d3e210a3d2
- Realised P&L
- $-147.12
- Volume
- $47.0k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $13.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series? · Yes | 0.072 | 0.083 | $10.75 | +$1.37 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.951 | $2.85 | +$2.83 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$96.00at 0.600Red Wings vs. Stars: O/U 6.5
- +$7.80at 0.038Will New York Jets win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
- +$5.45at 0.020Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?
- +$3.34at 0.038Will Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
- +$3.10at 0.084Will Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 03:55 | Exact Score: PFK Levski Sofia 0 - 1 Universitatea Craiova CS? | BUY | 0.92 | $15.64 |
| 07-14 13:16 | SP La Fiorita vs. FC UNA Strassen: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.93 | $18.60 |
| 07-13 14:33 | Exact Score: Djurgardens IF 1 - 1 Halmstads BK? | BUY | 0.95 | $16.15 |
| 07-09 11:32 | Will Bohemian FC vs. St Joseph's FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.9 | $10.80 |
| 07-01 10:13 | England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.92 | $16.56 |
| 07-01 09:04 | Spread: Belgium (-2.5) | BUY | 0.92 | $19.32 |
| 06-23 07:01 | Spread: England (-4.5) | BUY | 0.93 | $15.81 |
| 06-15 08:38 | Saudi Arabia to win the second half? | BUY | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 06-03 04:02 | Spread: Spurs (-25.5) | BUY | 0.95 | $11.40 |
| 05-29 03:34 | Fredrikstad FK vs. IK Start: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.94 | $9.40 |
| 04-27 15:41 | Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-04-27? | BUY | 0.91 | $17.20 |
| 03-17 08:44 | Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | SELL | 0.0573761923 | $5.89 |
| 03-17 08:39 | Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | SELL | 0.0622531876 | $3.42 |
| 03-17 05:11 | Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.969 | $926.36 |
| 03-17 05:05 | Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.969 | $926.36 |