PolyBot

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Traders

STDgambler

0x2e4818113b183641c2b3f25ca6b4c962c57a95c7

Realised P&L
$-13.1k
Volume
$13.59M
Markets traded
1,641
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,641
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 17:17Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.998$449.10
09-08 11:41Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?SELL0.79$90.83
07-20 19:07US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.95$83.24
07-11 18:55World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?SELL0.9403931196$4.9k
07-11 18:54Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?SELL0.93$5.3k
07-07 22:18Will 4+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9$121.90
07-07 19:39Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.002$20.00
07-07 14:02Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.82$1.6k
07-01 09:42Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.974$102.49
06-25 08:18Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.89$720.23
06-24 20:35Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?SELL0.85$68.00
06-23 07:22Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.55$272.35
06-18 13:21Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.995$525.61
06-15 15:05Will Mikel Merino be in Spain's Starting 11?BUY0.9926957939$152.23
06-15 15:01Will Álex Grimaldo be in Spain's Starting 11?BUY0.9958720677$114.20