STDgambler
0x2e4818113b183641c2b3f25ca6b4c962c57a95c7
- Realised P&L
- $-13.1k
- Volume
- $13.59M
- Markets traded
- 1,641
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,641
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.656Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$1.9kat 0.294Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$1.3kat 0.830Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$830.21at 0.805Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
- +$760.00at 0.620US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 17:17 | Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.998 | $449.10 |
| 09-08 11:41 | Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | SELL | 0.79 | $90.83 |
| 07-20 19:07 | US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $83.24 |
| 07-11 18:55 | World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? | SELL | 0.9403931196 | $4.9k |
| 07-11 18:54 | Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $5.3k |
| 07-07 22:18 | Will 4+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9 | $121.90 |
| 07-07 19:39 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.002 | $20.00 |
| 07-07 14:02 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.82 | $1.6k |
| 07-01 09:42 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.974 | $102.49 |
| 06-25 08:18 | Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.89 | $720.23 |
| 06-24 20:35 | Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.85 | $68.00 |
| 06-23 07:22 | Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.55 | $272.35 |
| 06-18 13:21 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.995 | $525.61 |
| 06-15 15:05 | Will Mikel Merino be in Spain's Starting 11? | BUY | 0.9926957939 | $152.23 |
| 06-15 15:01 | Will Álex Grimaldo be in Spain's Starting 11? | BUY | 0.9958720677 | $114.20 |