0x2e45e96ac64c9039f09a695a73b6c9259e2c6b58
0x2e45e96ac64c9039f09a695a73b6c9259e2c6b58
- Realised P&L
- $-4.52
- Volume
- $168.73
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $5.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $730 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.895 | $4.26 | +$3.26 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.480 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.82at 0.268Will Trump say "Nuclear" during remarks at NASA?
- +$2.54at 0.288Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 28 2026?
- +$2.20at 0.319Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026?
- +$2.00at 0.339Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$1.42at 0.420Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $345 Week of August 31 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 07:30 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $540 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 23:15 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $730 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 22:52 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 14:30 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 13? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 18:26 | Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 10:12 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 01:25 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 11:50 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 04:01 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:17 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $182.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 16:51 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 16:12 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:59 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 06:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 10:21 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |