iron.bank
0x2e4589e6fcec00099293992781d668ed094571ac
- Realised P&L
- $-4.04
- Volume
- $53.88
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $4.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danaher (DHR) Q3 non-GAAP core revenue growth 4.5% to 6%? · No | 0.690 | 0.935 | $4.67 | +$1.23 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.355 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.90at 0.512Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees
- +$-0.09at 0.378Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$-0.15at 0.210Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- +$-0.20at 0.423Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$-1.83at 0.368Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 02:29 | Danaher (DHR) Q3 non-GAAP core revenue growth 4.5% to 6%? | BUY | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 10-09 15:23 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.90 |
| 10-02 14:36 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 10-02 14:20 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 09-28 17:13 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.416 | $2.08 |
| 09-20 18:06 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 09-11 14:02 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.361 | $1.80 |
| 09-11 01:32 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.369 | $1.84 |
| 09-10 19:31 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 09-10 14:29 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 08-13 18:12 | Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.5 | $1.95 |