PolyBot

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Traders

0x2e3f57207794acbee1ed07eb7c6e5ac3ae9549ed

0x2e3f57207794acbee1ed07eb7c6e5ac3ae9549ed

Realised P&L
$-0.84
Volume
$18.65
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$5.56

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration54.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.8980.905$3.13+$0.02
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.9500.740$1.48−$0.42
Gemini Argon released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.9500.895$0.94−$0.06
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? · Yes0.8750.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 15:45Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9299998419$1.00
10-07 19:28Gemini Argon released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.95$1.00
10-07 14:04Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.95$1.11
10-04 20:39Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.59999988$1.00
10-02 16:10Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.97$1.00
10-02 05:38Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8199999836$1.00
09-11 06:43Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?BUY0.95$1.90
09-03 11:40Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?BUY0.8699999913$1.00
09-03 11:30Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?BUY0.8799995072$1.00
09-03 11:29Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?BUY0.9399999624$1.00
09-03 08:31Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.93$1.33
09-02 06:31Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?BUY0.8599999687$1.10
09-01 17:31Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?BUY0.96$1.44
08-29 17:13Will Milo Yiannopoulos be deported in 2026?BUY0.92$1.73