Bashaq99
0x2e38a52adc20610c3f2c1812d8e9ace7b31bcdae
- Realised P&L
- $-0.16
- Volume
- $30.1k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $46.16
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.026 | $15.90 | +$0.38 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.023 | $14.95 | −$0.38 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.013 | $11.41 | −$3.16 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.006 | $3.90 | +$0.30 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.084 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.85 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.51at 0.030Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$10.07at 0.349Will White House post 200+ posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
- +$4.48at 0.105Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?
- +$1.09at 0.005Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?
- +$0.40at 0.512Will White House post 200+ posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 23:41 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.0248 | $9.92 |
| 09-15 21:47 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.014 | $7.00 |
| 09-15 21:43 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $3.60 |
| 09-15 21:29 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.023 | $6.90 |
| 09-15 20:34 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.0220515333 | $6.62 |
| 09-15 20:18 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.0240970571 | $8.43 |
| 09-15 20:16 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.0509326522 | $46.86 |
| 09-15 19:55 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.0553590018 | $30.01 |
| 09-15 19:44 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $13.20 |
| 09-15 19:34 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.027 | $5.94 |
| 09-15 19:34 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.014 | $2.66 |
| 09-15 19:26 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $0.96 |
| 09-15 19:01 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $22.00 |
| 09-15 19:00 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.013 | $2.47 |
| 09-15 18:20 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.013 | $2.60 |