0x2e3218b105f4ce606342a31b2cc35537afd91b5d
0x2e3218b105f4ce606342a31b2cc35537afd91b5d
- Realised P&L
- $-5.1k
- Volume
- $228.2k
- Markets traded
- 507
- Open portfolio
- $331.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded507
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET · Down | 0.401 | 0.795 | $162.59 | +$80.67 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET · Up | 0.737 | 0.955 | $71.00 | +$16.17 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on October 20? · Down | 0.380 | 0.580 | $29.00 | +$10.00 |
| Solana Up or Down on October 20? · Down | 0.430 | 0.475 | $23.75 | +$2.25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET · Up | 0.684 | 0.205 | $23.02 | −$53.83 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on October 20? · Up | 0.600 | 0.420 | $21.00 | −$9.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET · Down | 0.251 | 0.045 | $0.95 | −$4.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.377Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
- +$778.39at 0.439Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
- +$759.84at 0.591Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
- +$687.94at 0.479Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
- +$683.49at 0.429Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 11:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 11:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.72 | $3.06 |
| 10-20 11:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.7199999902 | $2.94 |
| 10-20 11:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $1.88 |
| 10-20 11:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.6999999895 | $13.31 |
| 10-20 11:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.6999999761 | $5.86 |
| 10-20 11:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $2.89 |
| 10-20 11:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.7199999777 | $5.17 |
| 10-20 11:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.69999972 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 11:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $8.75 |
| 10-20 11:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.6999999397 | $1.16 |
| 10-20 11:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 11:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 11:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 11:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $1.95 |