PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2e2a6490e988cec3ade79464ab0672b75465141c

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
568
Open portfolio
$55.52

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded568
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET · Up0.5000.505$15.15+$0.15
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET · Down0.5000.495$14.85−$0.15
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET · Down0.5000.895$13.43+$5.92
Will US gas hit $4.35 (High) in November? · Yes0.5000.280$5.60−$4.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET · Down0.5000.985$4.92+$2.42
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET · Up0.5000.105$1.57−$5.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 19:34Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.05$1.00
10-31 19:34Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.06$1.20
10-31 19:34Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.05$1.00
10-31 19:34Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.06$1.20
10-31 19:32Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.05$1.00
10-31 19:32Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.06$1.20
10-31 19:31Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.05$1.00
10-31 19:31Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.06$1.20
10-27 22:18Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.995$1.24
05-04 01:27Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?SELL0.002$0.00
05-04 00:07Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?SELL0.001$0.00
05-03 01:17Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?SELL0.001$0.00
04-28 17:47Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?SELL0.99$1.32
04-23 22:49Will Celta Vigo finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?SELL0.985$1.18
04-22 22:46Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?SELL0.993$2.40