Superfcstr
0x2e2a2d6c5c1d604edb17fd22ea7d05b4cea981e6
- Realised P&L
- $-18.85
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 338
- Open portfolio
- $224.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded338
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping? · No | 0.999 | 0.995 | $39.44 | −$0.16 |
| Will the announcers say "Offside" or "Offsides" during the Falcons vs Packers game? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.975 | $37.13 | −$0.91 |
| Will anyone say "Family" during Big Brother E39? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.975 | $37.13 | −$0.91 |
| Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech? · Yes | 0.641 | 1.000 | $36.77 | +$13.17 |
| Will Trump say "Melania" during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping? · Yes | 0.000 | 0.995 | $36.59 | +$36.59 |
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping? · No | 0.000 | 0.979 | $32.38 | +$32.38 |
| Will Costco say "Quarter" 15+ times during earnings call? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.990 | $4.95 | −$0.04 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 3, 2026? · No | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$106.13at 0.528Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
- +$47.46at 0.548Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
- +$18.71at 0.191Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
- +$11.24at 0.864Israel strikes Yemen by August 22?
- +$9.76at 0.040Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 02:05 | Will anyone say "Family" during Big Brother E39? | BUY | 0.999 | $38.04 |
| 09-25 00:44 | Will the announcers say "Offside" or "Offsides" during the Falcons vs Packers game? | BUY | 0.999 | $38.04 |
| 09-25 00:39 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.04 |
| 09-25 00:39 | Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.9989999909 | $39.60 |
| 09-24 23:55 | Will Trump say "Dancing in the Street" in September? | BUY | 0.998 | $39.60 |
| 09-24 23:49 | Will Trump's evening remarks with Xi Jinping not air? | BUY | 0.999 | $37.56 |
| 09-24 23:49 | Will Trump say "Melania" during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.9899646414 | $36.40 |
| 09-24 21:13 | Will Costco say "Quarter" 15+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 21:08 | Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech? | BUY | 0.6414384224 | $23.60 |
| 09-24 18:45 | Will Netanyahu say "Ceasefire" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.986187521 | $16.40 |
| 09-24 18:45 | Will Netanyahu say "Negotiate" or "Negotiated" or "Negotiation" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 18:16 | Will Netanyahu say "Yemen" or "Houthis" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.9899999928 | $34.40 |
| 09-24 18:06 | Will Netanyahu say "Nuclear" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.60 |
| 09-24 18:05 | Will Netanyahu's remarks not air? | BUY | 0.999 | $38.40 |
| 09-24 14:47 | Will Trump say "Comrade" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.999 | $38.56 |