shshshsh
0x2e27dc20e289685b7b8ccb07de7deb1a34689967
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $59.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,525
- Open portfolio
- $20.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,525
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by November 30? · No | 0.640 | 0.640 | $12.80 | +$0.00 |
| Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by November 30? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.360 | $6.02 | −$1.34 |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.750 | $0.75 | +$0.22 |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? · No | 0.230 | 0.095 | $0.55 | −$0.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$396.04at 0.500Spread: Magic (-9.5)
- +$250.51at 0.311Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
- +$170.81at 0.504Monmouth Hawks vs. Stony Brook Seawolves: O/U 136.5
- +$129.74at 0.395Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 11?
- +$116.47at 0.510Spread: Mercer Bears (-4.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-20 18:14 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.8136679275 | $2.57 |
| 05-20 18:12 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 22? | BUY | 0.7299999584 | $3.16 |
| 05-20 18:12 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 22? | BUY | 0.7299999418 | $1.38 |
| 05-20 18:07 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on May 22? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.77 |
| 05-20 18:07 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 22? | BUY | 0.7299999584 | $3.16 |
| 05-20 17:47 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 21? | BUY | 0.67 | $2.35 |
| 05-20 17:44 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on May 22? | BUY | 0.7699999238 | $1.82 |
| 05-20 17:36 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.629999834 | $1.29 |
| 05-20 17:29 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on May 21? | BUY | 0.7199999435 | $1.02 |
| 05-20 17:28 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on May 21? | BUY | 0.859999985 | $2.30 |
| 05-20 17:25 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 22? | BUY | 0.78 | $18.08 |
| 05-20 17:23 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 22? | BUY | 0.769999967 | $1.40 |
| 05-20 17:21 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 22? | BUY | 0.5799998719 | $1.63 |
| 05-20 16:58 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 20? | BUY | 0.5 | $4.22 |
| 05-20 16:58 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 20? | BUY | 0.5170173932 | $1.62 |