0x2E1fB1a5327213d7C16546e71F896FAaD472B675-1734251666918
0x2e1fb1a5327213d7c16546e71f896faad472b675
- Realised P&L
- $-29.45
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $29.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,900 October 12-18? · No | 0.997 | 0.997 | $29.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12? · No | 0.998 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 19? · No | 0.995 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.76at 0.680Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
- +$0.19at 0.992Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$0.16at 0.994Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 13?
- +$0.15at 0.993Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 21-27?
- +$0.14at 0.992Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Australian Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 05:40 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.997 | $30.00 |
| 10-11 02:56 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.80 |
| 10-09 03:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 9? | BUY | 0.996 | $18.00 |
| 10-07 07:12 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on October 8? | BUY | 0.997643697 | $14.00 |
| 10-03 08:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.9949999537 | $17.40 |
| 09-30 09:18 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in September? | BUY | 0.998 | $21.87 |
| 09-29 03:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.20 |
| 09-27 00:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.993 | $23.00 |
| 09-22 22:10 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 23? | BUY | 0.998 | $29.00 |
| 09-20 22:51 | Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $15.40 |
| 09-14 11:19 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.994 | $14.92 |
| 09-13 12:05 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $17.60 |
| 09-06 09:12 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.80 |
| 09-02 00:21 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $17.00 |
| 08-30 04:23 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.62 |