PolyBot

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Traders

0x0820-3

0x2e1f908b32bced89c0010fad8f35c469cfbd8fde

Realised P&L
$-5.2k
Volume
$4.14M
Markets traded
6,638
Open portfolio
$9.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,638
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Aaron Rodgers have 18.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.6170.810$127.98+$30.55
Will Javonte Williams have 9.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.4700.705$104.34+$34.78
Will David Montgomery have 3.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.8500.965$96.45+$11.45
Will Marvin Harrison Jr. have 1,024.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.8700.935$93.49+$6.50
Will Jordan Mason have 249.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.8100.900$90.00+$9.00
Will Dalton Kincaid have 5.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.6400.695$89.29+$7.07
Will Khalil Shakir have 849.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.8500.890$89.00+$4.00
Will Tre Tucker have 374.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.8830.890$89.00+$0.71
Will Jameson Williams have 5.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.4570.545$87.20+$14.00
Will Bo Nix have 3,999.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.8900.870$87.00−$2.00
Will Tyler Warren have 924.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.8500.860$86.00+$1.00
Will Mark Andrews have 324.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.8700.855$85.50−$1.50
Will Justin Jefferson have 749.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.9000.855$85.50−$4.50
Will Ashton Jeanty have 774.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.8700.855$85.50−$1.50
Will J.K. Dobbins have 674.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.4810.625$85.21+$19.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 00:16Will Pohang Steelers be relegated from the 2026 K-League?BUY0.9$9.10
08-01 06:33Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by September 30?SELL0.72$0.08
08-01 06:33Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?SELL0.022$0.00
08-01 06:33Cuban regime falls in 2026?SELL0.13$0.01
08-01 06:33Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?SELL0.43$0.05
08-01 06:33Will 125 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?SELL0.999$0.14
08-01 06:33Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.94$0.14
08-01 06:33Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?SELL0.18$0.03
08-01 06:33Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?SELL0.44$0.07
08-01 06:33Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?SELL0.881$0.16
08-01 06:33Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?SELL0.13$0.02
08-01 06:33Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?SELL0.021$0.00
08-01 06:33Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?SELL0.86$0.16
08-01 06:33Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?SELL0.29$0.06
08-01 06:33Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?SELL0.999$0.20