0x0820-3
0x2e1f908b32bced89c0010fad8f35c469cfbd8fde
- Realised P&L
- $-5.2k
- Volume
- $4.14M
- Markets traded
- 6,638
- Open portfolio
- $9.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,638
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.050Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 27?
- +$847.28at 0.105Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$740.16at 0.050Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 27?
- +$593.76at 0.847Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
- +$542.42at 0.504Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 00:16 | Will Pohang Steelers be relegated from the 2026 K-League? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.10 |
| 08-01 06:33 | Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by September 30? | SELL | 0.72 | $0.08 |
| 08-01 06:33 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.00 |
| 08-01 06:33 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.01 |
| 08-01 06:33 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.43 | $0.05 |
| 08-01 06:33 | Will 125 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | SELL | 0.999 | $0.14 |
| 08-01 06:33 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.14 |
| 08-01 06:33 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.03 |
| 08-01 06:33 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.44 | $0.07 |
| 08-01 06:33 | Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.881 | $0.16 |
| 08-01 06:33 | Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.02 |
| 08-01 06:33 | Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.00 |
| 08-01 06:33 | Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30? | SELL | 0.86 | $0.16 |
| 08-01 06:33 | Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $0.06 |
| 08-01 06:33 | Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $0.20 |