PolyBot

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Traders

shadowboy

0x2e1f35ed492c3e794bc54722db5aa54af14498b2

Realised P&L
$25.90
Volume
$146.5k
Markets traded
78
Open portfolio
$231.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded78
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0760.018$231.40$774.37
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.3790.000$0.00$190.00
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$145.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31? · Yes0.1070.000$0.00$595.54
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$120.00
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$140.00
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$100.00
Another US military action against Iran before 2026? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$100.00
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$115.00
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$108.00
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$80.00
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00$200.00
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$110.00
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$100.00
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$75.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-24 14:55US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?SELL0.0167031183$96.13
08-10 12:25Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?SELL0.0664924199$226.98
07-25 22:09US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1544378587$500.00
07-12 17:42US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?SELL0.05$26.29
07-11 08:50US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?BUY0.1919256864$60.00
07-11 08:48US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?BUY0.1897654124$40.45
07-10 08:02US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1985904447$500.00
07-05 23:56Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.32$20.00
07-04 23:15Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.061$176.81
07-04 20:46Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?BUY0.14$70.00
07-04 20:45Will France win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.83$415.00
07-04 08:26Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?BUY0.29$145.00
07-04 08:26Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.54$270.00
07-04 01:02Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?BUY0.23$115.00
07-04 01:02Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.69$345.00