shadowboy
0x2e1f35ed492c3e794bc54722db5aa54af14498b2
- Realised P&L
- $25.90
- Volume
- $146.5k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $231.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.164US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$715.70at 0.579Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$566.12at 0.636Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
- +$438.42at 0.123Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
- +$412.88at 0.174Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 14:55 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0167031183 | $96.13 |
| 08-10 12:25 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.0664924199 | $226.98 |
| 07-25 22:09 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1544378587 | $500.00 |
| 07-12 17:42 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $26.29 |
| 07-11 08:50 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.1919256864 | $60.00 |
| 07-11 08:48 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.1897654124 | $40.45 |
| 07-10 08:02 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1985904447 | $500.00 |
| 07-05 23:56 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.32 | $20.00 |
| 07-04 23:15 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.061 | $176.81 |
| 07-04 20:46 | Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw? | BUY | 0.14 | $70.00 |
| 07-04 20:45 | Will France win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.83 | $415.00 |
| 07-04 08:26 | Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.29 | $145.00 |
| 07-04 08:26 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.54 | $270.00 |
| 07-04 01:02 | Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw? | BUY | 0.23 | $115.00 |
| 07-04 01:02 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.69 | $345.00 |