TiredFox
0x2e183ceffd64c3188d78c0c6b7d69e1e014e54b9
- Realised P&L
- $-205.73
- Volume
- $31.6k
- Markets traded
- 268
- Open portfolio
- $4.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded268
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 22? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.200 | $2.22 | +$1.22 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.165 | $1.38 | +$0.38 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on September 22? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.015 | $0.41 | −$0.59 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 22? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.001 | $0.04 | −$0.96 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 14-20? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.92at 0.015Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 2?
- +$38.67at 0.049Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on April 13?
- +$33.78at 0.017Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 2?
- +$21.54at 0.035Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 21?
- +$16.87at 0.055Solana Up or Down - April 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 06:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 06:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.0379999992 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 06:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.0119999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 11:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 21? | SELL | 0.7628097166 | $20.73 |
| 09-20 22:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.0329999992 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 22:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 22:42 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 15:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 15:24 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.0489999982 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 07:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 07:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 13:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 10? | BUY | 0.1459999801 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 23:51 | Will Solana dip to $100 on September 9? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 23:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 9? | BUY | 0.0349999995 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 23:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7PM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |