Trump2028
0x2e0b70d482e6b389e81dea528be57d825dd48070
- Realised P&L
- $364.8k
- Volume
- $25.87M
- Markets traded
- 531
- Open portfolio
- $337.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded531
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$134.4kat 0.248Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$67.9kat 0.643Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
- +$61.4kat 0.439No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
- +$56.5kat 0.280Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
- +$35.6kat 0.390No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:48 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.935 | $1.1k |
| 10-30 21:05 | Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $962.24 |
| 10-30 04:50 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.6k |
| 10-30 04:50 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $40.0k |
| 10-29 22:05 | Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $577.63 |
| 10-29 21:51 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9977614909 | $19.5k |
| 10-28 17:33 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.963 | $7.74 |
| 10-26 23:40 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $3.9k |
| 10-15 19:14 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | BUY | 0.992 | $14.4k |
| 10-15 19:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? | BUY | 0.993 | $997.09 |
| 10-15 19:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October? | BUY | 0.989 | $403.73 |
| 10-13 18:36 | Senate control favorite on November 2? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.9k |
| 10-13 18:34 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.85 | $15.7k |
| 10-12 17:09 | Senate control favorite on November 2? | BUY | 0.9697625911 | $571.87 |
| 10-11 01:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? | BUY | 0.9858147416 | $14.4k |