0x2e0ad3cd29d20296ea96bf582ead222e793a8ecf
- Realised P&L
- $33.89
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $32.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New England Revolution win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.026 | $32.95 | +$27.40 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24? · Down | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.90 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.082 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.46 |
| Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50? · No | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.76at 0.550US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 00:28 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $35.67 |
| 04-24 19:51 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.0821558821 | $1.46 |
| 04-24 18:11 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $21.56 |
| 04-24 18:10 | Will New England Revolution win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 04-24 18:04 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24? | BUY | 0.0225490196 | $1.27 |
| 04-24 17:58 | Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50? | BUY | 0.2199999715 | $4.78 |
| 04-24 17:50 | Will New England Revolution win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.0043610614 | $4.55 |