bing364955
0x2e05a7157fc1d014b69ae81612a82c4a3aba9e02
- Realised P&L
- $809.62
- Volume
- $12.5k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $227.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · No | 0.996 | 0.996 | $227.97 | −$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$450.00at 0.100Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
- +$193.92at 0.030Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
- +$134.99at 0.550Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
- +$94.00at 0.520Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
- +$72.90at 0.550Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 15:11 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.9961262038 | $228.00 |
| 08-21 06:13 | Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23? | BUY | 0.9975868173 | $220.00 |
| 07-20 08:01 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of July 20 above $100? | BUY | 0.999 | $109.89 |
| 06-26 04:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | BUY | 0.9989999935 | $134.00 |
| 06-12 02:14 | Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14? | BUY | 0.99 | $132.50 |
| 05-14 03:50 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on May 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $132.00 |
| 04-29 02:47 | Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $132.50 |
| 04-16 10:46 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $132.43 |
| 03-31 03:33 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$0 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $132.32 |
| 03-24 03:38 | Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $132.18 |
| 03-24 02:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $0.51 |
| 03-17 15:59 | Solana Up or Down on March 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $204.62 |
| 03-10 01:00 | Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $22.36 |
| 03-10 00:56 | Will "Man I Need - Olivia Dean" be the #1 song on Spotify this week? | BUY | 0.999 | $74.82 |
| 03-04 14:13 | Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $399.37 |