PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bing364955

0x2e05a7157fc1d014b69ae81612a82c4a3aba9e02

Realised P&L
$809.62
Volume
$12.5k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$227.97

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · No0.9960.996$227.97−$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 15:11Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?BUY0.9961262038$228.00
08-21 06:13Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?BUY0.9975868173$220.00
07-20 08:01Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of July 20 above $100?BUY0.999$109.89
06-26 04:49Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?BUY0.9989999935$134.00
06-12 02:14Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?BUY0.99$132.50
05-14 03:50Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on May 15?BUY0.998$132.00
04-29 02:47Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?BUY0.999$132.50
04-16 10:46Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 17?BUY0.999$132.43
03-31 03:33Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$0 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3?BUY0.999$132.32
03-24 03:38Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?BUY0.999$132.18
03-24 02:25Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETBUY0.001$0.51
03-17 15:59Solana Up or Down on March 17?BUY0.999$204.62
03-10 01:00Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?BUY0.994$22.36
03-10 00:56Will "Man I Need - Olivia Dean" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?BUY0.999$74.82
03-04 14:13Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY0.999$399.37