0x2DfF18Fd8D07983d57A0FbCd3b7f6a04aD904f9d-1774630367178
0x2dff18fd8d07983d57a0fbcd3b7f6a04ad904f9d
- Realised P&L
- $-79.31
- Volume
- $6.7k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $459.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.444 | 0.090 | $459.07 | −$1.8k |
| Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June? · Yes | 0.102 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.31 |
| Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June? · Yes | 0.133 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Will India strike Pakistan by March 31? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.42 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at $100-$115 in June? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June? · Yes | 0.136 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.42at 0.590US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-11 22:44 | Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999927 | $25.42 |
| 03-31 00:04 | Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.455923515 | $2.1k |
| 03-30 20:46 | Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3045418151 | $122.75 |
| 03-27 18:06 | Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June? | BUY | 0.1022699611 | $15.31 |
| 03-27 18:06 | Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June? | BUY | 0.1332936851 | $12.00 |
| 03-27 18:04 | Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June? | BUY | 0.1362751389 | $15.00 |
| 03-27 18:03 | Will Silver (SI) settle at $100-$115 in June? | BUY | 0.0995024876 | $7.00 |
| 03-27 18:01 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.5899999866 | $15.00 |
| 03-27 17:57 | Will India strike Pakistan by March 31? | BUY | 0.0148330784 | $15.00 |