0x2DFC80AeBBecfcb226a2a0170FC5527b578F5C8e-1774210668272
0x2dfc80aebbecfcb226a2a0170fc5527b578f5c8e
- Realised P&L
- $-56.19
- Volume
- $7.8k
- Markets traded
- 194
- Open portfolio
- $57.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded194
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.4kat 0.290Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
- +$1.5kat 0.710Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
- +$706.35at 0.070Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
- +$551.91at 0.340Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
- +$490.46at 0.270Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 10:41 | Solana Up or Down - November 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 11-01 10:41 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 11-01 10:28 | Solana Up or Down - November 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 11-01 09:49 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 16°C or below on November 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 11-01 09:25 | Solana Up or Down - November 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.37 | $2.22 |
| 11-01 09:16 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 11-01 09:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | BUY | 0.33 | $2.97 |
| 11-01 09:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 11-01 09:12 | Solana Up or Down - November 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 11-01 04:39 | Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $5.74 |
| 11-01 04:39 | Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $5.88 |
| 10-31 22:17 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 3°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 10-31 22:17 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 5°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 10-31 22:17 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.08 |
| 10-31 22:17 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |