PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2DFC80AeBBecfcb226a2a0170FC5527b578F5C8e-1774210668272

0x2dfc80aebbecfcb226a2a0170fc5527b578f5c8e

Realised P&L
$-56.19
Volume
$7.8k
Markets traded
194
Open portfolio
$57.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded194
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron by November 30? · Yes0.6200.480$19.20−$5.60
Will Tucker Wetmore win New Artist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? · Yes0.6160.445$11.13−$4.28
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.3000.285$9.50−$0.50
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the cash rate target by 25 bps at the March meeting? · Yes0.4200.405$8.10−$0.30
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by November 30? · Yes0.4600.310$6.20−$3.00
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0220.001$0.11−$4.78
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0220.001$0.11−$4.78
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0220.001$0.11−$4.78
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0220.001$0.11−$4.78
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0220.001$0.11−$4.78
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0220.001$0.11−$4.78
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0220.001$0.11−$4.78
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0220.001$0.11−$4.78
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0220.001$0.11−$4.78
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0220.001$0.11−$4.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 10:41Solana Up or Down - November 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETBUY0.47$2.35
11-01 10:41Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETBUY0.3$1.50
11-01 10:28Solana Up or Down - November 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETBUY0.5$2.50
11-01 09:49Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 16°C or below on November 1?SELL0.001$0.04
11-01 09:25Solana Up or Down - November 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.37$2.22
11-01 09:16Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.47$2.35
11-01 09:15Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETBUY0.33$2.97
11-01 09:15Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.43$2.15
11-01 09:12Solana Up or Down - November 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETBUY0.43$2.15
11-01 04:39Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?SELL0.82$5.74
11-01 04:39Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?BUY0.84$5.88
10-31 22:17Will the highest temperature in Munich be 3°C on November 1?SELL0.001$0.01
10-31 22:17Will the highest temperature in Munich be 5°C on November 1?SELL0.001$0.01
10-31 22:17Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on November 1?SELL0.009$0.08
10-31 22:17Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on November 1?SELL0.001$0.01