0x2dfb849053c37ef19264993d89c1ada872b41b5c
- Realised P&L
- $13.21
- Volume
- $803.80
- Markets traded
- 125
- Open portfolio
- $4.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded125
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.565 | $4.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will SK Sturm Graz win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.84at 0.184Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?
- +$4.93at 0.448Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?
- +$4.19at 0.417Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?
- +$4.12at 0.327Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-04-26?
- +$3.97at 0.206Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 17:18 | Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $4.00 |
| 09-20 15:33 | Will SK Sturm Graz win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 18:40 | Will Juventus FC vs. NEC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.88 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 14:44 | Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 18:16 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.4899999584 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 18:15 | Will Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-10 18:33 | Will Sabah FK win on 2026-09-10? | BUY | 0.0269999993 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 18:57 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.5599999328 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 05:50 | Will LASK Linz win on 2026-09-08? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 07:57 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 13:44 | Will LASK Linz win on 2026-09-01? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 13:44 | Will FK Austria Wien vs. SK Brann Kvinner end in a draw? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 08-31 16:54 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 08-30 12:49 | Will SK Rapid vs. SK Sturm Graz end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7599999595 | $3.00 |
| 08-28 13:08 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |