0x2df9846123020B713DF044C2de80658ad2ecEffb-1764940894320
0x2df9846123020b713df044c2de80658ad2eceffb
- Realised P&L
- $-7.8k
- Volume
- $636.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,082
- Open portfolio
- $110.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,082
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$327.58at 0.502Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on March 11?
- +$199.00at 0.800LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner
- +$194.81at 0.905Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on February 26?
- +$109.39at 0.926Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 4?
- +$106.54at 0.883Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on February 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 02:04 | Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.02 |
| 07-04 00:47 | Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 07-04 00:43 | Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.982 | $9.82 |
| 07-04 00:12 | Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.944 | $9.44 |
| 07-03 23:39 | Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 07-03 23:22 | Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.884 | $9.72 |
| 07-01 20:51 | Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 06-29 23:31 | Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.999 | $9.97 |
| 06-29 22:56 | Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 06-29 22:52 | Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 06-29 22:46 | Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 06-29 22:35 | Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.25 | $1.50 |
| 06-29 22:24 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29? | SELL | 0.03 | $2.52 |
| 06-29 22:20 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.48 |
| 06-29 14:14 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.874 | $8.74 |