0x2DF8542DEB05E2f1d378BE36137480197c1B9747-1779727475338
0x2df8542deb05e2f1d378be36137480197c1b9747
- Realised P&L
- $-58.10
- Volume
- $38.8k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $635.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration29.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.125 | $287.04 | +$57.41 |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.018 | $238.56 | −$8.07 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.870 | 0.954 | $109.60 | +$9.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.42at 0.903Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?
- +$12.14at 0.748Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$11.92at 0.894Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$9.20at 0.845Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
- +$6.14at 0.942Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 15:10 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0191256966 | $246.63 |
| 07-13 13:07 | Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9651656641 | $50.00 |
| 06-27 19:23 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.9859194212 | $110.00 |
| 06-22 19:18 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.9209999987 | $33.00 |
| 06-20 14:01 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8899999946 | $100.00 |
| 06-09 16:05 | Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY | 0.8399999993 | $50.00 |
| 06-09 15:59 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.8699999999 | $100.00 |
| 06-09 15:35 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.93 | $62.83 |
| 06-05 14:11 | Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.9524760376 | $50.00 |
| 06-05 14:06 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.9399999964 | $100.00 |
| 06-04 09:47 | Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 50m? | BUY | 0.9679371303 | $100.00 |
| 06-04 09:39 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7399999985 | $50.00 |
| 05-26 17:28 | Will Lee Kwang-jae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.001 | $5.61 |
| 05-26 17:23 | Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.9 | $200.00 |
| 05-26 17:10 | Will Lee Kwang-jae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.0134656663 | $200.00 |