PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2DF8542DEB05E2f1d378BE36137480197c1B9747-1779727475338

0x2df8542deb05e2f1d378be36137480197c1b9747

Realised P&L
$-58.10
Volume
$38.8k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$635.20

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration29.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1000.125$287.04+$57.41
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0190.018$238.56$8.07
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8700.954$109.60+$9.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-17 15:10Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0191256966$246.63
07-13 13:07Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9651656641$50.00
06-27 19:23No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.9859194212$110.00
06-22 19:18No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.9209999987$33.00
06-20 14:01Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.8899999946$100.00
06-09 16:05Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?BUY0.8399999993$50.00
06-09 15:59Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.8699999999$100.00
06-09 15:35Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.93$62.83
06-05 14:11Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?BUY0.9524760376$50.00
06-05 14:06Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.9399999964$100.00
06-04 09:47Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?BUY0.9679371303$100.00
06-04 09:39Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.7399999985$50.00
05-26 17:28Will Lee Kwang-jae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?SELL0.001$5.61
05-26 17:23Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?BUY0.9$200.00
05-26 17:10Will Lee Kwang-jae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?BUY0.0134656663$200.00