Dragon88Heart
0x2df7cdec252dcc71fa8a7b54ff3b6a7c439e5452
- Realised P&L
- $0.86
- Volume
- $127.8k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $2.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by September 30? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.969 | $2.89 | +$0.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.20at 0.950Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
- +$0.13at 0.950Will the price of Solana be above $170 on November 6?
- +$0.12at 0.930PartyDAO airdrop in 2024?
- +$0.10at 0.910Will Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024?
- +$0.07at 0.954Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 10:02 | Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by September 30? | BUY | 0.92 | $2.75 |
| 09-10 10:02 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.95 | $1.23 |
| 08-04 10:37 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.9499998069 | $1.23 |
| 07-26 12:03 | Epstein client list released by July 31? | BUY | 0.9979996954 | $1.16 |
| 06-14 09:19 | SAVE Act becomes law by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.985 | $3.52 |
| 06-14 09:18 | Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.985 | $2.24 |
| 05-20 08:47 | Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9519999825 | $2.17 |
| 05-13 13:41 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be 81°F or below on May 15? | BUY | 0.995 | $3.80 |
| 05-13 13:41 | Will Herculano Armando Bequinsa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | SELL | 0.939 | $3.91 |
| 04-03 02:17 | Will Herculano Armando Bequinsa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $4.15 |
| 04-03 02:16 | US strike on Colombia by March 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.16 |
| 03-11 10:22 | US strike on Colombia by March 31? | BUY | 0.9869999971 | $4.11 |
| 01-10 06:18 | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.07 |
| 12-16 07:41 | Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album before 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.03 |
| 12-03 12:57 | Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.83 |