3er872
0x2df7b033e2173a93226dfb2717a0dc2377d27f76
- Realised P&L
- $77.24
- Volume
- $44.6k
- Markets traded
- 510
- Open portfolio
- $47.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded510
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kings vs. Warriors · Kings | 0.350 | 0.335 | $23.93 | −$1.07 |
| Spurs vs. Suns · Suns | 0.350 | 0.325 | $23.21 | −$1.79 |
| Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Nets vs. Nuggets · Nets | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder · Spurs | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes | 0.116 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Thunder · Trail Blazers | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Pacers vs. Magic · Pacers | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Heat vs. Trail Blazers · Heat | 0.116 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will PFK CSKA Moskva vs. FK Baltika Kaliningrad end in a draw? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will FBC Melgar vs. CS Cristal end in a draw? · Yes | 0.288 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Dinamo 1948 vs. Universitatea Craiova CS end in a draw? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$331.52at 0.275Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
- +$241.93at 0.113Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$127.17at 0.195Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
- +$98.75at 0.210Bucks vs. Thunder
- +$92.86at 0.350Hawks vs. Hornets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 11:04 | Spurs vs. Suns | BUY | 0.3499999972 | $25.00 |
| 10-10 11:03 | Kings vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.3499999972 | $25.00 |
| 10-08 07:27 | Kings vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.25 | $25.00 |
| 10-08 07:27 | Hawks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $25.00 |
| 10-08 07:27 | 76ers vs. Nets | BUY | 0.3325040284 | $25.00 |
| 10-08 07:27 | Pelicans vs. Heat | BUY | 0.2723629422 | $25.00 |
| 10-08 07:26 | Wizards vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.3099999973 | $25.00 |
| 10-07 03:55 | Bucks vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 03:55 | Warriors vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.2899999985 | $25.00 |
| 10-07 03:55 | Bucks vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 08-20 01:29 | Will Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 08-20 01:29 | Will Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $10.00 |
| 08-19 11:26 | Will APIA Leichhardt FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.99 | $43.04 |
| 08-18 23:52 | Will APIA Leichhardt FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $10.00 |
| 08-18 23:52 | Will São Paulo FC vs. Club Bolívar end in a draw? | BUY | 0.219999985 | $10.00 |