fosterashley
0x2df739a79983c3333d22a193af3410b6712cf243
- Realised P&L
- $-39.28
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $11.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.755 | $11.36 | +$0.98 |
| Villena: Francesco Maestrelli vs Oliver Tarvet · Francesco Maestrelli | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.06at 0.780Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 4?
- +$0.24at 0.988Will Solana reach $250 in April?
- +$0.16at 0.990Will Bitcoin reach $120k in April?
- +$0.15at 0.989Will Alibaba have the top AI model on April 30?
- +$0.13at 0.995Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:29 | Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.9939999993 | $5.84 |
| 01-31 13:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January? | BUY | 0.996999979 | $19.01 |
| 01-30 15:37 | Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $33.02 |
| 01-30 11:46 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of January? | BUY | 0.998 | $39.98 |
| 01-30 11:35 | Will Chainlink hit $23 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.24 |
| 12-30 11:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.44 |
| 12-30 11:13 | Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.67 |
| 12-30 08:56 | Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.41 |
| 12-30 08:27 | Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $26.42 |
| 12-29 19:08 | Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $41.98 |
| 12-29 18:17 | Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025? | BUY | 0.9969999918 | $35.86 |
| 10-30 21:08 | Will Z.ai have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.92 |
| 10-30 18:01 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.65 |
| 09-29 17:19 | TikTok removed from App Store by September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.91 |
| 09-29 14:07 | Will Solana reach $270 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.36 |