Barda
0x2de8ceaacf0bd664b5fdb65fb8d3ef0e3c3f3035
- Realised P&L
- $-6.4k
- Volume
- $192.6k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No | 0.920 | 0.936 | $1.8k | +$31.20 |
| Nara Smith confirmed pregnant in 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.825 | $8.26 | +$1.36 |
| Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.272 | 0.265 | $0.67 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.2kat 0.499Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
- +$1.9kat 0.845Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?
- +$618.93at 0.943Netanyahu out by March 31?
- +$472.18at 0.956Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$411.54at 0.960Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 21:45 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0556700532 | $557.05 |
| 09-18 21:44 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0703521298 | $255.31 |
| 09-17 16:49 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.8k |
| 09-02 07:36 | Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.9367114094 | $41.87 |
| 09-02 07:35 | Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.946 | $47.30 |
| 09-02 07:35 | Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.9341225774 | $317.63 |
| 08-21 04:03 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8185909494 | $11.2k |
| 08-13 19:06 | Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.639765297 | $580.61 |
| 08-01 02:29 | Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | BUY | 0.84 | $10.1k |
| 07-31 14:21 | Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.24 | $15.60 |
| 07-31 02:36 | Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.2535945363 | $21.16 |
| 07-31 02:36 | Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.2566569647 | $24.69 |
| 07-31 02:36 | Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.2623851609 | $24.05 |
| 07-31 00:34 | Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.2721503901 | $101.16 |
| 07-15 23:49 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.955 | $7.2k |