superbay2222
0x2de1db7afb8b4aac7b3aba8cbdd7a96b83fbdbc5
- Realised P&L
- $5.3k
- Volume
- $109.9k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $18.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.6kat 0.423Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?
- +$225.53at 0.470US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
- +$133.32at 0.133Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$123.00at 0.700US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
- +$6.03at 0.624Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 13:41 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1805442126 | $1000.00 |
| 09-22 13:41 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.0k |
| 09-22 01:07 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1386133521 | $1.5k |
| 09-22 01:06 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.5k |
| 09-16 00:55 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7096927816 | $1.2k |
| 09-16 00:53 | Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? | SELL | 0.441 | $0.16 |
| 09-16 00:52 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.956 | $0.89 |
| 09-15 19:50 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $200.00 |
| 09-15 19:12 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.161118046 | $500.00 |
| 09-15 19:11 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999999 | $500.00 |
| 09-15 19:11 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6999999999 | $500.00 |
| 09-15 19:11 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6999999999 | $1000.00 |
| 09-15 19:11 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6999999999 | $1000.00 |
| 09-10 20:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $373.13 |
| 09-10 20:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.5k |