superbay2222
0x2de1db7afb8b4aac7b3aba8cbdd7a96b83fbdbc5
- Realised P&L
- $-5.0k
- Volume
- $67.2k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $14.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$225.53at 0.470US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
- +$133.32at 0.133Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$123.00at 0.700US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
- +$13.26at 0.576Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
- +$12.30at 0.606Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 00:55 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7096927816 | $1.2k |
| 09-16 00:53 | Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? | SELL | 0.441 | $0.16 |
| 09-16 00:52 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.956 | $0.89 |
| 09-15 19:50 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $200.00 |
| 09-15 19:12 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.161118046 | $500.00 |
| 09-15 19:11 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999999 | $500.00 |
| 09-15 19:11 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6999999999 | $500.00 |
| 09-15 19:11 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6999999999 | $1000.00 |
| 09-15 19:11 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6999999999 | $1000.00 |
| 09-10 20:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $373.13 |
| 09-10 20:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.5k |
| 09-10 20:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.5k |
| 09-10 20:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999999 | $1.5k |
| 09-10 20:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.0k |
| 09-10 20:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6472649013 | $4.0k |