Newbieeee
0x2dd71b135a6feade3032d16e5c6a8bc9fba455a0
- Realised P&L
- $204.15
- Volume
- $90.1k
- Markets traded
- 502
- Open portfolio
- $75.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded502
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.405 | $39.51 | −$0.49 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.292 | 0.355 | $36.40 | +$6.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$251.55at 0.330Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 31?
- +$156.12at 0.490Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
- +$143.90at 0.410Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
- +$135.35at 0.424Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
- +$122.22at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 19:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4099999965 | $40.00 |
| 08-04 12:35 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.2925535313 | $30.00 |
| 08-04 07:58 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 08-04 07:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.6799999981 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 07:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.3609755958 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 07:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 07:35 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.86 |
| 08-04 07:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5699999966 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 07:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.8899999996 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 06:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET | BUY | 0.4799999827 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 06:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.9399999996 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 06:24 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.0204078294 | $2.38 |
| 08-04 06:17 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 06:16 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.473840069 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 06:15 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.56961 | $28.48 |