0x2dc5f3d7f21d8fee0bf03acdd6acfb80008cab0d
0x2dc5f3d7f21d8fee0bf03acdd6acfb80008cab0d
- Realised P&L
- $-178.20
- Volume
- $33.4k
- Markets traded
- 534
- Open portfolio
- $12.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded534
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$72.66at 0.749Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$47.86at 0.623Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$31.58at 0.605Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$25.84at 0.305Will FC Thun vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
- +$18.95at 0.053St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 18:02 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.1609696036 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:02 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.0146118721 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 17:57 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.0068897637 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 17:57 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 17:56 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.0658080255 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 18:04 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.8199999918 | $8.00 |
| 09-29 18:02 | Will Russia win on 2026-09-29? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.32 |
| 09-29 17:28 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.8199999818 | $2.70 |
| 09-29 17:27 | Will Finland win on 2026-09-29? | SELL | 0.36 | $2.77 |
| 09-29 16:07 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.8199999243 | $1.30 |
| 09-29 16:06 | Will Russia win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 16:05 | Will Finland win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 20:06 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.42 | $11.97 |
| 09-28 13:59 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.5199999928 | $8.72 |