bad-bandit
0x2dc46ea98bbbe080b801380812ac9d8f72300c92
- Realised P&L
- $-36.2k
- Volume
- $2.46M
- Markets traded
- 5,027
- Open portfolio
- $169.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,027
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz · KT Wiz | 0.550 | 0.785 | $102.61 | +$30.72 |
| Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-04-12? · No | 0.390 | 0.505 | $63.30 | +$14.41 |
| Will Seattle Sounders FC vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.245 | $3.81 | +$0.54 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.81 |
| Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-03-07? · No | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.78 |
| Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.6kat 0.285Magic vs. Celtics
- +$3.3kat 0.060Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$2.8kat 0.390Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders
- +$2.8kat 0.240Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
- +$2.7kat 0.450Rangers vs. Lightning
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-23 08:42 | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.84 | $13.54 |
| 06-22 15:08 | Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? | BUY | 0.23 | $17.63 |
| 06-22 14:53 | Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? | BUY | 0.23 | $29.39 |
| 06-22 12:04 | Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.85 | $132.44 |
| 06-22 11:59 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.49 | $151.78 |
| 06-22 11:57 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.49 | $67.96 |
| 06-22 09:14 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.49 | $102.70 |
| 06-22 07:53 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.49 | $37.55 |
| 06-22 06:20 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.49 | $296.74 |
| 06-21 18:15 | Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.3 | $421.01 |
| 06-21 17:15 | Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.38 | $418.81 |
| 06-20 11:33 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.43 | $13.31 |
| 06-20 11:31 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.43 | $134.02 |
| 06-20 11:18 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.43 | $304.50 |
| 06-20 11:16 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.43 | $101.27 |